WA-05: Baumgartner Leads Democrats, Trails the Lone Independent.
Baumgartner beats every Democrat in WA-05 and loses to one independent. The whole swing is independents: 48% for a generic Dem, 69% for Powell.
AK-AL: Begich Leads Every Matchup. An Unknown Independent Runs Closest.
In Alaska's at-large race, the anti-Begich vote is bigger than any one opponent, and right now an independent carries it better than a Democrat.
WI-06: Grothman Leads Every Matchup. Independent, Michael Thurow, Cuts His Margin in Half.
In WI-06, the only thing that moves the ballot is the label on the challenger. A Democrat loses by 22. An independent loses by 10. Nobody can name either one.
PA-07 Democratic Primary: Brooks Leads With One Day to Go
New Tavern Research poll: Brooks leads PA-07 at 26%, with McClure at 17% and Crosswell at 16%. 31% undecided the day before the primary. The race isn't over.
NY-12 Democratic Primary: Bores Leads at 20%. The largest Bloc is Still Unclaimed.
The NY-12 Democratic Primary isn't a three-way tie. It's three candidates running three separate primaries in one election — and 28% of voters haven't picked a lane yet.