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Lindsey Morrow 6/16/26 Lindsey Morrow 6/16/26

NY-17 Democratic Primary: Conley Leads at 34%.

Cait Conley leads the NY-17 Democratic primary at 34%, Beth Davidson at 23%. The margin of error is 5%, and 28% of voters are still undecided.

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Lindsey Morrow 6/1/26 Lindsey Morrow 6/1/26

NJ-07 Democratic Primary: Bennett Leads at 32%.

Bennett has the lead and the name recognition in NJ-07. The Democrats chasing her are better-liked than they are known, and 24% still haven't picked.

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Lindsey Morrow 5/29/26 Lindsey Morrow 5/29/26

WA-05: Baumgartner Leads Democrats, Trails the Lone Independent.

Baumgartner beats every Democrat in WA-05 and loses to one independent. The whole swing is independents: 48% for a generic Dem, 69% for Powell.

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Lindsey Morrow 5/29/26 Lindsey Morrow 5/29/26

AK-AL: Begich Leads Every Matchup. An Unknown Independent Runs Closest.

In Alaska's at-large race, the anti-Begich vote is bigger than any one opponent, and right now an independent carries it better than a Democrat.

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Lindsey Morrow 5/29/26 Lindsey Morrow 5/29/26

WI-06: Grothman Leads Every Matchup. Independent, Michael Thurow, Cuts His Margin in Half.

In WI-06, the only thing that moves the ballot is the label on the challenger. A Democrat loses by 22. An independent loses by 10. Nobody can name either one.

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Lindsey Morrow 5/18/26 Lindsey Morrow 5/18/26

PA-07 Democratic Primary: Brooks Leads With One Day to Go

New Tavern Research poll: Brooks leads PA-07 at 26%, with McClure at 17% and Crosswell at 16%. 31% undecided the day before the primary. The race isn't over.

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Lindsey Morrow 5/15/26 Lindsey Morrow 5/15/26

NY-12 Democratic Primary: Bores Leads at 20%. The largest Bloc is Still Unclaimed.

The NY-12 Democratic Primary isn't a three-way tie. It's three candidates running three separate primaries in one election — and 28% of voters haven't picked a lane yet.

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