NY-17 Democratic Primary: Conley Leads at 34%.
Cait Conley leads the NY-17 Democratic primary at 34%, Beth Davidson at 23%. The margin of error is 5%, and 28% of voters are still undecided.
Maine Senate: Platner Leads Primary 68–16.
We ran two polls ahead of tomorrow’s Democratic Primary in Maine. One primary election poll and one general election poll. Platner is the favorite in tomorrow’s primary 68-16. Mills and Platner are almost identical in head to head matchups v. Collins, but both trail a generic Democrat.
NJ-07 Democratic Primary: Bennett Leads at 32%.
Bennett has the lead and the name recognition in NJ-07. The Democrats chasing her are better-liked than they are known, and 24% still haven't picked.
WA-05: Baumgartner Leads Democrats, Trails the Lone Independent.
Baumgartner beats every Democrat in WA-05 and loses to one independent. The whole swing is independents: 48% for a generic Dem, 69% for Powell.
AK-AL: Begich Leads Every Matchup. An Unknown Independent Runs Closest.
In Alaska's at-large race, the anti-Begich vote is bigger than any one opponent, and right now an independent carries it better than a Democrat.
WI-06: Grothman Leads Every Matchup. Independent, Michael Thurow, Cuts His Margin in Half.
In WI-06, the only thing that moves the ballot is the label on the challenger. A Democrat loses by 22. An independent loses by 10. Nobody can name either one.
Montana Senate: Bodnar Ties Alme Head-To-Head. Alme Leads When The Field Expands.
Independent Seth Bodnar ties Republican Kurt Alme 50-50 head-to-head, but Alme leads when Bodnar and a Democrat are both on the ballot.
PA-07 Democratic Primary: Brooks Leads With One Day to Go
New Tavern Research poll: Brooks leads PA-07 at 26%, with McClure at 17% and Crosswell at 16%. 31% undecided the day before the primary. The race isn't over.
NY-12 Democratic Primary: Bores Leads at 20%. The largest Bloc is Still Unclaimed.
The NY-12 Democratic Primary isn't a three-way tie. It's three candidates running three separate primaries in one election — and 28% of voters haven't picked a lane yet.
LA Mayoral Primary: May 2026 Polling Snapshot
A May 1–4 survey of 531 likely LA primary voters: Bass 22%, Pratt 18%, Raman 16%. Head-to-heads, favorability, and the issues driving the race.
Ricketts Has an Independent Problem in Nebraska.
In Tavern's latest Nebraska Senate survey, Osborn leads Ricketts 47-42 in a head-to-head matchup, with 12% undecided. That margin is modest. The reason it exists is not complicated: Osborn is dominating independents.
Texas SENATE: Talarico Dominates Independents, Cornyn's Trump Pitch Backfires
Independent voters prefer Talarico over Crockett; Cornyn and Hunt edge out Paxton.