Montana Senate: Bodnar Ties Alme Head-To-Head. Alme Leads When The Field Expands.
Independent Seth Bodnar ties Republican Kurt Alme 50-50 head-to-head, but Alme leads when Bodnar and a Democrat are both on the ballot.
PA-07 Democratic Primary: Brooks Leads With One Day to Go
New Tavern Research poll: Brooks leads PA-07 at 26%, with McClure at 17% and Crosswell at 16%. 31% undecided the day before the primary. The race isn't over.
NY-12 Democratic Primary: Bores Leads at 20%. The largest Bloc is Still Unclaimed.
The NY-12 Democratic Primary isn't a three-way tie. It's three candidates running three separate primaries in one election — and 28% of voters haven't picked a lane yet.
LA Mayoral Primary: May 2026 Polling Snapshot
A May 1–4 survey of 531 likely LA primary voters: Bass 22%, Pratt 18%, Raman 16%. Head-to-heads, favorability, and the issues driving the race.
Ricketts Has an Independent Problem in Nebraska.
In Tavern's latest Nebraska Senate survey, Osborn leads Ricketts 47-42 in a head-to-head matchup, with 12% undecided. That margin is modest. The reason it exists is not complicated: Osborn is dominating independents.
Texas SENATE: Talarico Dominates Independents, Cornyn's Trump Pitch Backfires
Independent voters prefer Talarico over Crockett; Cornyn and Hunt edge out Paxton.